Tabla de probabilidades
Probabilidad de que cada selección alcance cada ronda, según 10,000 simulaciones del torneo completo. El color va de rojo (poco probable) a verde (muy probable), por columna. Toca una columna para ordenar.
| Selección | Avanza | 8vos | 4tos | Semis | Final | Campeón |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇪🇸EspañaESP | 100% | 72% | 52% | 39% | 26% | 17.1% |
| 🇦🇷ArgentinaARG | 98% | 65% | 50% | 35% | 23% | 14.1% |
| 🇫🇷FranciaFRA | 98% | 74% | 51% | 34% | 20% | 12.3% |
| 🇵🇹PortugalPOR | 97% | 66% | 42% | 25% | 14% | 7.7% |
| 🏴InglaterraENG | 96% | 67% | 43% | 26% | 15% | 7.7% |
| 🇧🇷BrasilBRA | 98% | 62% | 41% | 25% | 14% | 7.3% |
| 🇳🇱Países BajosNED | 92% | 58% | 40% | 24% | 13% | 6.8% |
| 🇩🇪AlemaniaGER | 98% | 65% | 34% | 19% | 9% | 4.4% |
| 🇧🇪BélgicaBEL | 96% | 62% | 36% | 16% | 8% | 3.1% |
| 🇨🇴ColombiaCOL | 90% | 51% | 26% | 13% | 6% | 2.6% |
| 🇺🇾UruguayURU | 89% | 39% | 22% | 11% | 5% | 1.9% |
| 🇭🇷CroaciaCRO | 85% | 46% | 22% | 11% | 5% | 1.8% |
| 🇨🇭SuizaSUI | 93% | 55% | 25% | 10% | 4% | 1.6% |
| 🇯🇵JapónJPN | 80% | 39% | 22% | 10% | 4% | 1.5% |
| 🇲🇦MarruecosMAR | 87% | 39% | 21% | 9% | 4% | 1.4% |
| 🇸🇳SenegalSEN | 74% | 37% | 18% | 7% | 3% | <1% |
| 🇪🇨EcuadorECU | 88% | 43% | 17% | 7% | 3% | <1% |
| 🇲🇽MéxicoMEX | 91% | 45% | 17% | 7% | 2% | <1% |
| 🇳🇴NoruegaNOR | 86% | 41% | 17% | 7% | 2% | <1% |
| 🇹🇷TurquíaTUR | 81% | 40% | 15% | 5% | 2% | <1% |
| 🇮🇷IránIRN | 68% | 36% | 13% | 5% | 2% | <1% |
| 🇨🇮Costa de MarfilCIV | 82% | 38% | 15% | 6% | 2% | <1% |
| 🇺🇸Estados UnidosUSA | 82% | 40% | 16% | 5% | 2% | <1% |
| 🇰🇷Corea del SurKOR | 72% | 34% | 13% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| 🇦🇹AustriaAUT | 82% | 27% | 12% | 5% | 2% | <1% |
| 🇩🇿ArgeliaALG | 68% | 23% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| 🇸🇪SueciaSWE | 63% | 26% | 11% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| 🏴EscociaSCO | 69% | 26% | 11% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| 🇨🇦CanadáCAN | 87% | 40% | 13% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| 🇪🇬EgiptoEGY | 75% | 33% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| 🇨🇿República ChecaCZE | 68% | 30% | 10% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| 🇵🇾ParaguayPAR | 63% | 25% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| 🇦🇺AustraliaAUS | 46% | 16% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 🇧🇦Bosnia-HerzegovinaBIH | 65% | 27% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| 🇬🇭GhanaGHA | 46% | 14% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 🇨🇩RD CongoCOD | 42% | 12% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 🇵🇦PanamáPAN | 36% | 11% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 🇿🇦SudáfricaRSA | 39% | 13% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 🇶🇦CatarQAT | 25% | 10% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 🇹🇳TúnezTUN | 35% | 11% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 🇨🇻Cabo VerdeCPV | 30% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 🇸🇦Arabia SauditaKSA | 31% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 🇺🇿UzbekistánUZB | 31% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 🇭🇹HaitíHAI | 14% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 🇯🇴JordaniaJOR | 18% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 🇮🇶IrakIRQ | 12% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 🇳🇿Nueva ZelandaNZL | 29% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 🇨🇼CurazaoCUW | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |